Factors for election outcome
Six political parties, including three pro-government and three oppositional parties, will most probably be in Armenian parliament in 2012, according to Director of "Sociometer" Center Aharon Adibekyan. He gave some predictions based on the current situation and said it was too early to analyze due to the fact that certain domestic and foreign factors may have an impact on the outcome of the elections.
"Some factors include the Karabakh conflict, the issue of getting out of the crisis and there may be scandals in government. But I think the coalition will remain, the "Dashnaktsutyun" will strengthen its positions, "Heritage" may enter parliament, the ANC has great pretensions, but it has to work in large cities with the hope of receiving the villagers' votes."
As far as political scientist Ashot Manucharyan's recent statement according to which the BHK (Prosperous Armenia) was the winner of the 2007 parliamentary elections, Aharon Adibekyan not only doesn't share that view, but tries to prove with numbers. "There are 915 communities of which 675 are under the control of the Republican Party. How could the BHK collect the votes of the majority?"
Aharon Adibekyan gave a press conference today to discuss the upcoming parliamentary elections in Azerbaijan and gave his predictions. He is sure that not all deputies will be elected in Azerbaijan's new parliament and there will be changes favoring Armenians because every 5th deputy is an Armenian concealing his origin or is married to an Armenian woman.
