Azerbaijan will lead to death
The clashes on the Artsakh Republic-Azerbaijani border will continue, says Senior Analyst at the Carnegie Endowment Thomas de Waal who has been studying the Karabakh peace process for a long time.
Analyst Thomas de Waal sees a big difference between the statements periodically made by the Azerbaijani president and defense minister.
In an interview with "Voice of America", Thomas de Waal said:
"If the president makes threats, then the defense minister is continuously joking about the possibility of the war," said de Waal, adding that this is accounted for by the fact that they have different audiences and President Ilham Aliyev's war rhetoric aims only to gain political dividends.
Thomas de Waal believes that Azerbaijan should realize that it cannot solve the Karabakh conflict through military actions, as some studies have revealed. According to him, the reason is Karabakh's geographic position and by the power of the Armenian army.
"Besides having the latest weaponry, a country must also be able to rely on its forces to celebrate a victory, which Azerbaijan cannot do at the moment, adding that Azerbaijan "will lead thousands of young men to an inevitable death, if it declares war".
