Clinton is coming with harsh questions”

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"U.S. Secretary of State Hilary Clinton is coming with harsh questions," French Armenian analyst Gerard Shalyan said during today's discussion on "The Changing Geopolitical Situation and Its Influence on South Caucasus."

The armed conflict and strategic relations expert, who was in Karabakh on July 1, thinks a new war is inevitable if Armenia refuses to make consensuses.
"This will be a short, unexpected war aimed at bringing maximum damage to Armenia in 2-3 days. First of all, I mean numerous human losses as later Russia will rush to help Karabakh. We should face the reality and be ready for а sudden attack," the expert said.

In case of a new war, Gerard Shalyan suggests two versions, "If we mean to damage our enemy, we must start from their population. But if we want to create a burden for the international community, we must concentrate on Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline. I would choose the second variant."

Comparing the Karabakh and Kosovo conflicts, Mr. Shalyan noted that Kosovo became independent thanks to the USA. The same fate would await Karabakh if the White House made Karabakh's independence its priority.
"There have been successful self-determination movements in the world, i.e. Kosovo. However the Karabakh issue is different. Is there any country in the world that would like Nagorno Karabakh to be independent? "We would know if there was any," Gerard Shalyan said.

Russia is the main arbitrator in Karabakh process and this is beneficial for curbing Azerbaijan on the one hand, and leaving the territories under Armenia's control, on the other.

Speaking about Armenian-Turkish relations, Gerard Shalyan said that Ankara aspires to isolate Armenian. The Armenian-Turkish border is not closed because of the Genocide issue but because of the Karabakh conflict.