DID SAAKASHVILI HELP McCAIN?
Support A1+!“No matter who becomes U.S. next president, Barack Obama or John McCain, no developments are expected in the U.S. policy in regard to South Caucasus,” says Dr. Dennis Sandole, Professor of Conflict Resolution and International Relations from George Mason University (USA). Mr. Sandole was in Armenia last week.
He says the USA is more interested in the Balkan States than in South Caucasus.
We foresee positive developments in the region in case Democrat Barack Obama is elected the U.S President. The President might appoint a special envoy /most likely ex President Bill Clinton/ to deal with the conflicts of South Caucasus.
“In case Republican John McCain wins the election, nothing will change in the region,” says the American political scientist.
“A new gap has emerged between the West and East,” Dennis Sandole said with regard to the Russian-Georgian conflict. When attacking South Ossetia Georgia’s President Michael Saakashvili was sure that he would lose the war. And yet, he wanted to draw the attention of the international community and make them accept frozen conflicts before the escalation of the situation.
Saakashvili’s attack was an attempt to waken the USA, Turkey, NATO and the EU. It meant that the governments of Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan couldn’t use the frozen conflicts to solve their interior problems.
Saakashvili’s steps were aimed at supporting McCain during the presidential race.
The recent developments in South Caucasus aim to ensure the stability of Turkey and Russia. Currently they need the support of their regional neighbours. The platform of stability and cooperation in Caucasus proposed by Turkey suggests a new wave in the Russian-Georgian war and a new mechanism of governance in the region.
